Trading Mistakes 101

This article is taken from the Forex Journal (November 2008 issue).

The author, Steve DeWitt, has been involved with Forex trading for over 8 years. During his years of experience, he has won many international Forex trading contest including “The Biggest Forex Contest” ever. He has also trained over 10,000 people how to become successful at trading the Foreign Exchange markets


  • Steve DeWitt takes a look at common mistakes made in Forex trading that cause traders to lose money. He also shares strategies that can be used to avoid making these mistakes.

Huge amounts of money can be made trading Forex. While profits are definitely there for the taking, this article was written to help you learn how NOT to make the common mistakes of a losing trader. Being aware of these mistakes, combined with a solid trading plan can lead you to success more quickly. We see traders make these mistakes time and again. If these losing traders would just take a step back and consider why they are making these mistakes, they could turn the corner and become profitable.

The following list contains the most common trading mistakes that we will cover in this article.

1. Not using a “trading plan”
2. Not having a money management game plan
3. Not using protective stop loss orders
4. Closing winning trades early and letting losing trades run
5. Overstaying your position
6. Averaging a losing trade
7. Increasing your risk with success
8. Overtrading your account
9. Failure to take profits from your account
10. Changing your trade plan in mid-trade
11. Not having patience
12. Not having discipline

The Global Forex Market

This article is taken from the Forex Journal (November 2008 issue).

The author, Sam Seiden, brings over 15 years experience of equities, Forex, options, and futures trading that began when he was on the floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. He has traded equities, futures, interest rate markets, Forex, options, and commodities for his personal interests for years and has educated hundreds of traders and investors through seminars and daily advisory services both domestically and internationally.


  • Sam Seiden describes what the Forex market actually is and how it works.

What is the Forex Market?

The Foreign Currency (Forex or Spot) market is where global exchange rates are derived for everyone including market speculators and end users of currency. It is the largest and least regulated financial market in the world. There are pros and cons to this situation that I will discuss in a bit. This cash-bank market was established around 1971 when floating exchange rates began to materialize. The daily turnover has increased from around $5 billion in 1977 to over $2 trillion today. This market is open 24 hours per day – 6 days per week.

Part 5: Entry point

In the previous article I wrote about stop loss before I have told anything about the entry point. From one side it looks completely illogical to do such thing, but I am not seeking a logic, I am trying to explain my trading method and in this explanatory order there is better chance for reader to get an idea about my trading.

My trading method is based on support and resistance lines and those lines itself is not just selling or buying points. Those lines I use as analysis for the current situation in the market and my decision to buy or sell based on the whole picture, not on the one line itself. Entering points are placed on the basis of my analysis. There is no signals, no technical indicators, no any magic. Simply there is just my decision to get into the market or not. I know, it looks quite strange and in this article you will see why is that.

First of all, as usual there is some psychological aspects for entering the market. Again, if you have fear or just very primitive desire to get rich over the night, without even considering to educate yourselves about the trading, to create trading strategy, what matches your personality, emotions will take over and over some period of time you are going to give up trading. There will enormous amount of every kind of emotion and at the end your strength, your ability to think clear will disappear.

If you have fear to enter the market (usually it happens after the loss) my advice would be: do not enter the market, until you have eliminated, or at least significantly reduced fear levels. Basically, all remains the same – any negativeness inside you, and you already have a chance to loose your money. First of all, before you enter the market, inside of you should not be any emotions. Too much happiness – emotions as well. Be calm when you trade. Emotions are necessary for people in the entertainment industry, but dangerous for the trader.

Now I am going to describe how I am entering the market. Let's get back to the beginning. First my step, before I am even considering to buy or to sell any of the financial instruments, I draw support and resistance lines. And I am doing this not just because I have nothing else to do, but to establish the conditions of the market. Is market flat? Trending up or down? Support and resistance lines help me to establish current market conditions. This one tool which I use to trade. There is no other. How do I establish conditions of the market by using just support and resistance lines, you can read in my previous articles. After I know if the market is flat or trending, I decide to take some actions according to the market conditions. If market is trending up, I am looking for place to buy, if down – place to sell. As for the flat market, there is the chance trade longs and shorts, but I am not very keen to trade in the flat market, even there is a lot of opportunities to make money. Maybe it just me, because technically there is nothing wrong to trade such market.

Decision what action you are going to take – is crucial. Not the place where you have entered the market. Of course, better price always helps, but if you are on the wrong side of the market, even very good price won't help you. So, before you do any actions, decide for yourselves: are you going to support bulls or bears? And after you took that decision do not change your mind, unless conditions of the market has changed. Stick with your decision.

After I have decided what actions I am going to take, I look for the place where my stop loss should be. Next, I must calculate risk reward ratio and my ratio is 1:2, in other words I am seeking at least twice bigger profit than possible loss. And if current price won't match that ratio, I will not enter the market. I will wait for the better price and if, (after I can get better price), market conditions are the same, certainly I will enter the market. To clarify this, let's see some examples.

First example is USDCHF flat market:

chart USDCHF

On the 9thth of January we see very strong and positive 4 hours candle, but since when market froze inside the box between two lines – 1.1249 and 1.1123. All this time was an opportunity to buy around 1.1100 and sell around 1.1220. Personally, I would suggest to play on the bulls side. Reason is – market was positive, before became a neutral and is there better chance for market to continue previous trend. So, let's say I established flat market conditions on the 14thth of January, and support line at 1.1123, with the resistance line at the 1.1249, my actions would be to buy around 1.1130- 60 and to sell around 1.1200-20, with the stop loss around 1.1100. But if I take my ratio, I should buy 1.1130 at least and sell 1.1220 at least. Since 14thth of January there was two such possibilities. Market has not changed it's conditions and there is possible third possibility.

Next example shows trending market.

chart USDCAD

From 5th of January till 12th of January market was flat and on the 12thth of January price moved above the resistance line 1.2041, telling me about positive trend. Positive trend has been completely established on the 14thth of January and my decision was to go long around previous resistance line 1.2041. At least to get price 1.2100. Why is that. Because, my stop loss had to be around 1.1750, with the take profit line around 1.3000 ( risk:reward - ~350p. Against 900p.), but as you see, I could not get that price and market left me. Do I get upset? No. There will be more possibilities such as this. Plus I was satisfied, that another analyse of the market was correct. (by the way, this trading plan was given in the real time on my website www.forex-trends.com)

Hopefully, those to examples will clear my words about entering the market. Basic points to remember:

  1. 1.Draw the support and resistance lines.
  2. 2.Find current conditions of the market and take a decision what actions are you going to take.
  3. 3.Find possible stop loss.
  4. 4.Calculate risk:reward ratio
  5. 5.Enter the market at the desirable price

What is basically all. By following this order I have achieved some results. Of course, time by time there are some losses, but in the long term it works. If anyone will try to trade following my articles, soon he or she will understand – this approach to the market will require calmness and patience. There is no Holy Grain in the market and I do not consider my trading method is something better than other methods. Unique, strange – yes, better – certainly no. This method gave me freedom to have a possibility to know myself, to see

what do I really want from my life. And now, I certainly can tell one thing – there is more in life than trading. Trading for me became a fun, not hard work. I understood one thing: to achieve something in the life, requires not luck, but personal growth, requires to develop positive inner you, requires huge amount of effort. Result? I even could not dream about that satisfaction, what I have received, by sharing my trading method with others. Yes, financial profit is pleasing, but now I know: there is more... For now that is it. Till the next article, about levels of profit or if I put it simply, where to exit the market.

I wish you success and prosperity.


resources:Forex-Trends.com

Essential things to know about broker operations

Basic statistics

The rapid growth of Forex brokers began in 1999 as the United States was getting ready to allow retail investors to participate in brokered currency transactions. The foreign exchange “interbank market” existed, however, for many decades prior. Retail brokers channel the trading interest of an estimated 5-6 million Forex retail traders worldwide.

Worldwide, Forex Datasource estimates that there are approximately 100 Forex broker dealers that have more than 1000 clients each. To get a sense of how much trading volume passes through the hands of Forex brokers, it is useful to look at statistics from one the largest brokers in the market, Forex Capital Markets (FXCM). As of Jan 2009, FXCM claims to have more than 125,000 accounts trading its platforms. Also according to official sources, the FXCM monthly trading volume is $0.5 trillion – as a reference, the foreign exchange volume that normally trades per day in the interbank market is US$ 3.2 trillion.


What a broker needs to start doing business

Before a Forex brokers opens the door for business, they should have invested time and money to prepare the backoffice that will allow them to offer electronic trading of currencies to retail traders. The elements that they must have are: a trading platform, a sophisticated backoffice system, and a bridge interface to interact with participants in the interbank currency market.

The trading platform is what the retail trader experiences when they see charts, news, prices, and quotes. All of this information comes from the broker backoffice systems: price engine, trade servers, account servers, web servers, news servers, etc. The trading platform integrates all of this information in a format that, hopefully, is user-friendly and intuitive. Both the platform and the backoffice are part of the same system.

If a broker offers more than one platform, they have added complexity because they had to have one more element (not pictured in the diagram above): a front-end bridge interface between the new platform and the existing backoffice systems. On a side note, the more platforms a broker offers, the more complex will be to manage currency risk, keep the systems synchronized, and maintain systems uptime.


Getting FX price quotes.

Before prices appear in a trader platform, a Forex broker will use the API (application protocol interface) instructions that the major bank will provide it to setup a link that allows brokers to get price quotes in various currencies. These banks are major participants in the interbank market and are to the broker what we call liquidity providers.

Using the API, the Forex broker needs to build a connection between its backoffice and the backoffice of the liquidity providers. A typical broker will get prices from 1-4 banks – banks like Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan Chase, Citibank, HSBC, UBS, etc. A small Forex broker will typically have only one liquidity provider and will be at the mercy of that bank or bigger broker for whatever prices the sole liquidity provider gives it. It is useful to keep in mind that no matter what broker you choose, you will only be trading with a small portion of the Forex interbank market, because numerous other liquidity providers will not be connected to the broker of your choice.

pic

The Forex broker will thus use this connection to banks, or back-end bridge interface, to “aggregate” or bring together prices from various sources. The prices from the different banks will never be exactly the same, but price quotes among the largest banks are very close.

Not knowing if a client will buy or sell, the broker needs to be able to deliver both, the bid and the ask prices. But before the broker can show a bid/ask quote to clients, it must be able to secure one or multiple bid/ask prices that will allow it to earn a profit from the spread. Deciding what price to show requires complex algorithms inside a price engine that determines what price and spread to show for each pair given conditions set by the liquidity providers and limitations of their backoffice systems.


Example of a simple order: how trader and broker can make a profit

For example,

a trader sees an opportunity to buy EURUSD. Let’s say the broker will show its clients a spread of 3 pips on EURUSD, for example 1.2700-1.2703. Client submits an order request to buy at the 1.2703 price through the platform. The order is relayed by the broker to its back-end bridge. The broker gets these simultaneous tradeable prices from three liquidity providers:

Bank 1: EURUSD 1.2701-02, Bank 2: EURUSD 1.2700-01, Bank 3: EURUSD 1.2702-03.

Broker now confirms the trade at the quoted price and charges the trader $30 per $100,000. Broker then offsets the trade risk by buying at 1.2701 from Bank 2 (the lowest asking price).The reason for offsetting the trade with the interbank market is so that the broker remains indifferent to whether the client makes or loses money.

Let’s further assume that when the trade will be closed, the broker sees the following prices from its liquidity providers:

Bank 1: EURUSD 1.2801-03, Bank 2: EURUSD 1.2799-1.2801, Bank 3: 1.2801-02.

The broker decides to show its client 1.2799-1.2802 at the time when the client closes the trade. The client trade was closed (sold) at 1.2799 (the bid price). Meanwhile, the broker closes its trade with the interbank market at 1.2802 (the highest bid price) from Bank 3.

Now, we do some basic math to calculate how much the trader made and how much the broker made from this trade:

Client opened the trade at 1.2703 and closed it at 1.2799, a 96 pip gain minus 3 pips in spread (for EURUSD, each pip is worth $10): 960 pips x $10 = $960, minus $30 spread = net gain of $930

Broker opened its trade at 1.2701 and closed it at 1.2802, a 101 pip gain minus $2 in fees to the banks (brokers pay banks a per million fee that in our example is $10 per million or $1 per $100,000:

101 pips x $10 = $1010, minus $960 client gain, minus $2 bank fee, plus $30 spread gain = $78

In addition to bank fees per amount transacted, brokers will usually have to pay a fee to their prime broker and another fee to other technology providers that provide the ultra-fast connection that allows the trade to be booked quickly. So the net broker gain in our example may turn out to be more like $74, still a very handsome profit and no matter if the trader wins or loses.



3 Types of Brokers

There are three types of brokers: no-dealing desk brokers, no-dealing desk ECNs, and dealing desk brokers. The example above shows the profit profile of a no dealing desk broker with multiple liquidity providers. A no-dealing desk ECN will have very similar results, except that the broker profit will be 50% smaller and instead of a $30 spread cost to clients, the all in cost (commission +smaller spread) might be something like $20 – a savings of $10 per $100,000 traded.

In the case of a dealing desk broker, the calculation of profit/loss for a broker is different and more complex. Typically, a dealing desk broker will manage the risk of a pool of many trades, not just the profit or loss of one trade or one account. The dealing desk will try to make money managing the net position of all longs (buys) and shorts (sells) in any currency pair. A dealing desk is much more profitable for a broker, but it also exposes the firm to wild swings in profit/loss depending on whether the dealing desk bet its net position wisely. In some ways, the dealing desk is similar to one very large Forex trading account, and a team of internal traders actively manage the outcome of this large account.

In a dealing desk model, the broker can still offset a trade with the interbank market, but it does so selectively. Let’s say a trader is consistently profitable. The dealing desk broker has the option of putting him in a different trade server that gets automatic execution and all trades are offset (sent) to the interbank market. If so, the client is happy and the broker is able to still make money on the spread. The other alternative for a dealing desk is to make life difficult for a profitable trader by providing slow and poor execution until the client leaves. This second option used to be more common in the early years of retail Forex and much less common now days.

By isolating a pool of traders that is consistently losing money, the broker can earn a much more handsome profit. If 100 consistently losing traders deposit $10,000 each, after 2-3 months, the broker will have earned in spread and profit potentially $1,000,000. Because the dealing desk broker is the final counterparty (or risk taker) for the client’s trade, the loss for the trader represents the profit for the broker. Although not all dealing desk brokers want to see clients lose all their money, there is no denying that a losing client enhances broker profitability. This conflict of interest has made brokers with a dealing desk earn a bad reputation.

IMPORTANT: The prices quoted by banks will typically have a duration. This means that they are valid for the broker if executed within 1-2 seconds or even fractions of a second.



Why price re-quotes occur?

When a trader gets a message that the price has changed, he or she will probably assume that a broker has put him or her on manual trade execution. Although this is possible, it used to be much more common a few years ago when it was easier to scam traders. The most likely reason for this annoying problem is explained below.

A slow transfer of prices from bank to end-user will cause the broker to show stale prices on the platform. This will be apparent when a trader requests a trade, and the broker responds that it can’t offer the quoted price because the price has changed. If this problem happens during low liquidity times, it is a sign of low speed of transfer from bank to client and back. If the trader has low speed of connection to the internet, this could also cause price requote problems.

If the price requote happens after a news announcement, then it is probably because liquidity providers have shortened the trade response time for the few minutes after the announcement. Neither banks or brokers have the desire to be responsible to traders for a given price for very long. In a fast moving market, holding on a price means assuming currency risk for big sums of money. This takes us to the other problem of slow price transfer: latency risk.


What is latency risk?

In simple terms, latency risk is the risk for the broker that it has accepted a client order before being able to secure a price that guarantees a profit. Some brokers offer guaranteed execution (what you see is what you get, or WYSIWYG). In order to not assume currency risk caused by latency, these brokers have to have ultra fast transfer times and/or charge a wider spread as a buffer to earn a profit from the spread.

Latency risk is not a risk just to brokers. If a broker does not offer a guaranteed execution and a trader requests a given trade (say a Sell USDJPY at 92.99), price latency in the broker order transfer line could expose the trader to substantial losses if the price is moving fast. Instead of filling the order at USDJPY 92.99, the broker typically has the ability to fill orders at the “best available price”. Instead of 92.99, the order could be filled at 93.40 or any price that the broker claims that it has received from its liquidity providers immediately after the client order was received. But there is an additional problem complicating the picture of execution during volatile periods. We explain that next.


Spread widening and trading during the news

When a news announcement is released, it has the potential for impacting currency prices dramatically, particularly if the release is much higher or lower than market expectations. This increased volatility is evidenced by a widening of the spread seen on trading platforms. The EURUSD may go from a 2 pip spread to a 5 pip spread, for example. Obviously, the larger the spread, the bigger will be a trader’s cost to put on a trade. But it is useful to understand why the spread widens.

The spread widens because at a particular time, there is a volatile mix:

  • Imbalance of longs and shorts + bottleneck of orders + uncertainty in the market

The imbalance of longs and shorts refers to the fact that in an instant, what was a more or less balanced market with 1000 sellers (shorts) and 950 buyers (longs) may turn to a completely imbalanced picture: 50 shorts and 1900 longs. Everybody wants to buy and not many people are on the opposite side. Imagine a stampede on the supermarket where you can buy everything at 50% off as long as you go through one of the three cashiers in less than 2 minutes. Everybody would get as much as possible and would start to form a line, which leads us to the next factor: bottleneck of orders.

A broker accumulates orders, just like the cashier in our simple analogy. It stands as a match maker between the prices that it sees coming from the liquidity providers and the client orders that have arrived first. The fact is that during news announcements, there are almost inevitable delays during the first few minutes while the queue of orders in the system are processed on a first-come, first served basis. An order that is executed in 1 second during regular periods could be executed in 10 to 20 seconds during a volatile period, and at a very different price than requested.

The third element for spread widening is that currency markets take a few moments to assimilate all the good or bad of a news announcement. During this brief moment, there can be wild price fluctuations because of uncertainty. Trading during news announcement is extremely risky and an invitation to higher trading costs and unexpected outcomes; definitely only for the brave at heart.


Why was my stop loss filled away from my stated price?

During this period of volatility, prices will not necessarily move in a linear fashion 1.2303, 1.2304, 1.2305. A broker may see in less than one second quotes skip prices like this 1.2303, 1.2315, 1.2335, 1.2369. If a trader has a stop loss at 1.2340 and it was executed at 1.2369, it is because 1.2340 or 1.2341 did not trade at all during the time when his stop loss became active. He was given the first available price given his stop loss condition.


The backoffice systems – a reflection of the broker

As we have explored in this document, a Forex broker has numerous technical considerations to manage efficiently. Our point is that it takes four attributes to provide a professional trading experience to clients: stable/attractive technology solution, more than “adequate” capitalization, qualified personnel, and responsive management.

  • The broker cannot afford to be sloppy or cavalier with the trades it is responsible for, yet they are sometimes. More importantly, traders should avoid brokers that can’t be transparent and forthright about their policies and technology, as well as brokers that show serious shortcomings in the four attributes described above.

We hope that this document has educated you on the general structure of Forex brokers and how traders and brokers can make money in Forex.

resource:http://www.fxstreet.com/education/forex-basics/essential-things-to-know-about-broker-operations/2009-03-16.html

The importance of technology in the Forex broker selection process

There are approximately 100 forex brokers worldwide -40 of which reach to international audiences and the rest concentrates on domestic markets. This forex broker mix is now enhanced by major banks that are partnering with established forex brokers.

Clearly, as the number of participants grow the forex broker choice gets tougher.

The competitive forex broker landscape showcases firms highlighting their perceived strengths and what (broker firms perceive) traders wish to hear: broker financial strength, technology prowess, great customer service, and the list goes on. But what are the hot buttons of forex traders nowadays and is technology one of them?

To answer those questions, e-Forex magazine and ForexDatasource.com partnered to conduct a special study. The results were also complemented by market research Forex Datasource had generated previously.

For this special study, both retail and institutional forex traders were included. Each respondent was asked to rank from 1 to 10 (10 being the highest) how important were specific technical and nontechnical factors in their forex broker selection process. The survey also asked their forex trading experience in years and whether they managed the Forex accounts of other people (institutional traders).

The most important variables in the Forex broker selection process were four, and two of them had a technology component:


Hot button #1: Regulatory Body (9.5 out of 10)

Registration of a Forex broker with the NFA or FSA has come to represent a commitment to transparency. It should not be surprising that many well established broker firms, such as ACM USA, Alpari, and FXDD have sought NFA registration in 2008. The registration process enables them to acces~ the lucrative US market, representing between 35% and 40% of the global retail Forex market. Conversely, a number of firms operating under a less comprehensive regulatory environment (such as Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, or Cyprus) may be placing a limit on their potential global appeal.

It is also true that the NFA registration can be burdensome, as evidenced by the decisions of two large European brokers to shutter their NFA foray and just keep their FSA (UK) registration. In Nov 2008, CMC Markets US withdrew its membership after 3 years and Saxo Capi tal Markets US opted to withdraw its membership application.

Capital and regulatory requirements have been on the rise for Forex brokers since 2006 when the US National Futures Association (NFA) started an ongoing push on this regard. By the end of Oct 2008, the NFA raised from $5m to $l0m the minimum capital requirement for Forex Dealer Members -the same used to be $250,000 through Jun 2006. By May 2009, this requirement will become $20m. It is quite conceivable that in a challenging credit market and faced with a competitive broker market, some Forex brokers will be forced to sell their book of business to larger firms. This consolidation process has been taking place quietly since 2006 without much impact on Forex traders.


Hot button #2: Fund Security (9.4 out of 10)

Major firms with tens of billions of dollars in capital are going bankrupt or needing government bailouts. Many investors wonder whether market turmoil will also hurt forex brokers. Institutional forex traders surveyed appeared to apply a two-stage filter in their broker selection, where fund security and regulatory environment was the first filter, and technology factor comparison was the second filter.

Mikkel Thorup, Capricorn Group Chief Investment Officer, espoused this two-tier approach:

"In today's markets our primary concern is credit risk when dealing with brokers or execution providers. It does not really matter that a broker provides top notch execution, but then could be out ofbusiness the next day, and taking our clients money down with them. Therefore we only deal with banks or top rated FCM's. When looking at execution and technology it is paramount for us that platforms are reliable and have low latency, together with the ability to deal via phone as a backup if there should be system failures. If these conditions are not met, then we will not be entering into business relationships. "

On a positive note, virtually all Forex brokers are focused on one line of business (retail Forex) and are not directly affected by what is going on in the market. Despite the credit difficulty that corporate borrowers face, forex brokers polled do not have plans to curtail the leverage level offered to clients. In terms of financial backing, however, it is worth noting that the majority of forex broker firms are each owned by 1-5 wealthy individuals, while most of the larger ones have received capital infusions from private equity firms.

As a former management member for a major Forex broker dealer, I understand that a great degree of sophistication is required to manage all financial operations between the broker and clients and between the broker and the interbank market. As an illustration, a single major broker may transact more than 5 million trades with clients in a single month -a level of trades that may actually exceed the turnover seen at Deutsche Bank, the largest FX market maker. So even though the average trade size of these Forex brokers will be a fraction of the average trade of Deutsche Bank, the technical requirements to keep all back office operations in order are high and expensive.


Hot button #3: Trading platform features (9.3 out of 10)

In a close third place, traders polled cared about the features of their trading platform. This category refers to having the desired charting tools and technical indicators, within a stable environment conducive to a high system uptime. Drawing on the wealth of information from its trader evaluation database (more than 500 unique evaluations from traders in more than 65 countries), Forex Datasource is able to expand on the findings from the e-Forex survey.

The CMS Forex and FX Solutions platforms are the highest ranked trading platforms, followed closely by that of Interbank FX. Conversely, four of the Top 7 trading platforms tracked by Forex Datasource belong to brokers offering the MetaTrader (MT) 4 platform. The MT4 platform is a very popular choice among traders because it combines integrated charting, a robust indicator library and a simple language to program custom indicators or automated trading strategies. FXCM trading platform has gotten high marks by some traders for enabling them to trade from the charts.


Hot button #4: Trade execution features (9.1 out of 10)

Trade execution is also a key technology factor for traders, both retail and institutional. Traders are interested in having stable spreads, little or no slippage, little or no price requote, as well as low price latency. Some firms -such as MIG Investments -are taking steps to increase the number of data centers around the world to decrease price latency and improve execution speed.

Besides the factors described above, traders polled did not show a consistent preference for the remaining factors. Some traders cared about getting low or fixed spreads, or related business factors such as (a broker) not having a dealing desk. Newer traders tended to care more about the reputation of Forex broker dealers in discussion boards than more experienced traders did. An even smaller segment of participants cared about the quality of customer service or about advanced technical features -such as API trading or money manager software.


Favourite Broker Dealers

Now that we have a sense of the hot buttons affecting traders today, it would be useful to know what are some of the most popular broker dealers today. The collective wisdom of a community, whether it be one of ants, bees, or Forex traders, is infinitely greater than that of a single individual.

The Forex Datasource broker dealer database consists of hundreds of trader evaluations which began to be collected in August 2008.

In these evaluations, Forex traders from over 65 countries ranked their preferred broker dealer from 1 to l0 on key areas, such as overall evaluation, platform, and customer service.

Most Forex traders appear to be content with their Forex broker selection and the edge that the top seven brokers in any category have over others tends to be small. It is safe to say that the high regulatory burden imposed on all brokers is also forcing brokers to keep up in terms of technology investment, while tightening spreads and offering outstanding services to clients. So, while Forex traders have quite a bit of work selecting a broker, the latter have a tough assignment carving out a niche in a very competitive broker dealer environment.

The importance of technology in the Forex broker selection process

There are approximately 100 forex brokers worldwide -40 of which reach to international audiences and the rest concentrates on domestic markets. This forex broker mix is now enhanced by major banks that are partnering with established forex brokers.

Clearly, as the number of participants grow the forex broker choice gets tougher.

The competitive forex broker landscape showcases firms highlighting their perceived strengths and what (broker firms perceive) traders wish to hear: broker financial strength, technology prowess, great customer service, and the list goes on. But what are the hot buttons of forex traders nowadays and is technology one of them?

To answer those questions, e-Forex magazine and ForexDatasource.com partnered to conduct a special study. The results were also complemented by market research Forex Datasource had generated previously.

For this special study, both retail and institutional forex traders were included. Each respondent was asked to rank from 1 to 10 (10 being the highest) how important were specific technical and nontechnical factors in their forex broker selection process. The survey also asked their forex trading experience in years and whether they managed the Forex accounts of other people (institutional traders).

The most important variables in the Forex broker selection process were four, and two of them had a technology component:


Hot button #1: Regulatory Body (9.5 out of 10)

Registration of a Forex broker with the NFA or FSA has come to represent a commitment to transparency. It should not be surprising that many well established broker firms, such as ACM USA, Alpari, and FXDD have sought NFA registration in 2008. The registration process enables them to acces~ the lucrative US market, representing between 35% and 40% of the global retail Forex market. Conversely, a number of firms operating under a less comprehensive regulatory environment (such as Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, or Cyprus) may be placing a limit on their potential global appeal.

It is also true that the NFA registration can be burdensome, as evidenced by the decisions of two large European brokers to shutter their NFA foray and just keep their FSA (UK) registration. In Nov 2008, CMC Markets US withdrew its membership after 3 years and Saxo Capi tal Markets US opted to withdraw its membership application.

Capital and regulatory requirements have been on the rise for Forex brokers since 2006 when the US National Futures Association (NFA) started an ongoing push on this regard. By the end of Oct 2008, the NFA raised from $5m to $l0m the minimum capital requirement for Forex Dealer Members -the same used to be $250,000 through Jun 2006. By May 2009, this requirement will become $20m. It is quite conceivable that in a challenging credit market and faced with a competitive broker market, some Forex brokers will be forced to sell their book of business to larger firms. This consolidation process has been taking place quietly since 2006 without much impact on Forex traders.


Hot button #2: Fund Security (9.4 out of 10)

Major firms with tens of billions of dollars in capital are going bankrupt or needing government bailouts. Many investors wonder whether market turmoil will also hurt forex brokers. Institutional forex traders surveyed appeared to apply a two-stage filter in their broker selection, where fund security and regulatory environment was the first filter, and technology factor comparison was the second filter.

Mikkel Thorup, Capricorn Group Chief Investment Officer, espoused this two-tier approach:

"In today's markets our primary concern is credit risk when dealing with brokers or execution providers. It does not really matter that a broker provides top notch execution, but then could be out ofbusiness the next day, and taking our clients money down with them. Therefore we only deal with banks or top rated FCM's. When looking at execution and technology it is paramount for us that platforms are reliable and have low latency, together with the ability to deal via phone as a backup if there should be system failures. If these conditions are not met, then we will not be entering into business relationships. "

On a positive note, virtually all Forex brokers are focused on one line of business (retail Forex) and are not directly affected by what is going on in the market. Despite the credit difficulty that corporate borrowers face, forex brokers polled do not have plans to curtail the leverage level offered to clients. In terms of financial backing, however, it is worth noting that the majority of forex broker firms are each owned by 1-5 wealthy individuals, while most of the larger ones have received capital infusions from private equity firms.

As a former management member for a major Forex broker dealer, I understand that a great degree of sophistication is required to manage all financial operations between the broker and clients and between the broker and the interbank market. As an illustration, a single major broker may transact more than 5 million trades with clients in a single month -a level of trades that may actually exceed the turnover seen at Deutsche Bank, the largest FX market maker. So even though the average trade size of these Forex brokers will be a fraction of the average trade of Deutsche Bank, the technical requirements to keep all back office operations in order are high and expensive.


Hot button #3: Trading platform features (9.3 out of 10)

In a close third place, traders polled cared about the features of their trading platform. This category refers to having the desired charting tools and technical indicators, within a stable environment conducive to a high system uptime. Drawing on the wealth of information from its trader evaluation database (more than 500 unique evaluations from traders in more than 65 countries), Forex Datasource is able to expand on the findings from the e-Forex survey.

The CMS Forex and FX Solutions platforms are the highest ranked trading platforms, followed closely by that of Interbank FX. Conversely, four of the Top 7 trading platforms tracked by Forex Datasource belong to brokers offering the MetaTrader (MT) 4 platform. The MT4 platform is a very popular choice among traders because it combines integrated charting, a robust indicator library and a simple language to program custom indicators or automated trading strategies. FXCM trading platform has gotten high marks by some traders for enabling them to trade from the charts.


Hot button #4: Trade execution features (9.1 out of 10)

Trade execution is also a key technology factor for traders, both retail and institutional. Traders are interested in having stable spreads, little or no slippage, little or no price requote, as well as low price latency. Some firms -such as MIG Investments -are taking steps to increase the number of data centers around the world to decrease price latency and improve execution speed.

Besides the factors described above, traders polled did not show a consistent preference for the remaining factors. Some traders cared about getting low or fixed spreads, or related business factors such as (a broker) not having a dealing desk. Newer traders tended to care more about the reputation of Forex broker dealers in discussion boards than more experienced traders did. An even smaller segment of participants cared about the quality of customer service or about advanced technical features -such as API trading or money manager software.


Favourite Broker Dealers

Now that we have a sense of the hot buttons affecting traders today, it would be useful to know what are some of the most popular broker dealers today. The collective wisdom of a community, whether it be one of ants, bees, or Forex traders, is infinitely greater than that of a single individual.

The Forex Datasource broker dealer database consists of hundreds of trader evaluations which began to be collected in August 2008.

In these evaluations, Forex traders from over 65 countries ranked their preferred broker dealer from 1 to l0 on key areas, such as overall evaluation, platform, and customer service.

Most Forex traders appear to be content with their Forex broker selection and the edge that the top seven brokers in any category have over others tends to be small. It is safe to say that the high regulatory burden imposed on all brokers is also forcing brokers to keep up in terms of technology investment, while tightening spreads and offering outstanding services to clients. So, while Forex traders have quite a bit of work selecting a broker, the latter have a tough assignment carving out a niche in a very competitive broker dealer environment.

How to adjust to a return to volatility

Volatility has come back to the forex market with a vengeance after seeing it trend down in price swings over the past several years. It feels like the 1980s again when large daily swings and sharp trend moves were more the norm. The advent of electronic trading and price transparency as well as the introduction of the euro among other factors had led to a reduction in volatility that favored the market makers, where there were limits to risk on an intra-day basis. Large swings, such as after a key economic report, were more the exception than the norm.

All of that has changed. The global financial and economic crises have seen the forex market experience a sharp increase in volatility. Although I have not quantified it, the price action suggests reduced participation and reduced risk taking have contributed to the increase in volatility. There are fewer players in the market with some hedge funds and other players falling victim to the financial meltdown experienced late last year. Those still in the market have been forced to reduce leverage. Banks have been forced to pullback on taking risk. This has probably made it more difficult for the market to absorb large orders during periods when liquidity drops. The volatility has forced traders to take a more defensive approach to protect capital.

The market has thus been forced to shift gears. There are clearly opportunities to make large profits in this environment but also risks where one can get wiped out on a surprise move in the market. Examples of surprises were the recent move by the Swiss National Bank to intervene to weaken the CHF (vs. the EUR) and the FOMC decision for the Fed to undertake quantitative easing. In both cases, the markets reacted violently with large gaps and large swings, especially by recent historic standards. For example, the EUR/USD was trading at 1.3105 just prior to the FOMC announcement and it closed around its high (1.3499). This represents a 3% swing in less than two hours. For the day, the EUR/USD experienced a 3.9% swing from low-high. This may not seem like a large move for equity traders but in a leveraged market such as Forex, it is a mammoth move.

The question is then, how does one approach trading this market? Prior to the increase in volatility, a lot of strategies were based on trading ranges as the dollar seemed to spend more time ranging than trending. With risks contained, many favored this approach as there seemed to be limits on both sides. In the current environment, daily ranges have expanded and tend to overshoot more often than not. This argues for leaving larger stops and lowering leverage to account for the volatility. Larger stops do not guarantee your position will get stopped but at least provide more protection than tight stops, which have a greater risk of being triggered. In addition, expect more “slippage” from your bank or broker due to volatility in pricing in the interbank market.

The risks in the market also argue to be aware of the fundamentals, especially in a world where government interventions in the free market have increased significantly. The two large moves over the past week have been triggered by fundamental news (i.e. SNB and Fed) so being aware of fundamentals is critical if you don’t want to get blindsided. Some technicians will argue that everything is factored into the prices. However, there is no way technicals can price in future fundamental headlines so an awareness of the fundamentals, even for a technical trader, is important.

To sum up, the world has changed. Everything goes in cycles and this one has seen a return to volatility. This means it is no longer business as usual and one has to keep in mind the importance of protecting capital so you can live to trade another day. This argues for defense as well as offense when employing trading strategies. It also argues for being aware of fundamentals in a world economy where government actions are playing a key role. Stay disciplined. Live to trade another day!